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Hurricane Beryl, the first hurricane of the 2024 Atlantic season, is rapidly intensifying and heading towards Barbados and the Windward Islands. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) warns that Beryl could become a major hurricane by Sunday night or Monday, June 30th or July 1st. This early hurricane formation is unusual, as the average date for the first hurricane is August 11th.
It is currently heading towards the southeast Caribbean, bringing the threat of high winds and heavy rain. Forecasters warn Beryl could intensify into a major hurricane before reaching Barbados and the Windward Islands late Sunday or early Monday. Unusually warm waters in the Atlantic Ocean, reaching unprecedented levels for this time of year, are contributing to the rapid intensification of Hurricane Beryl.
Destructive Winds and Storm Surge Expected
Beryl is currently located about 530 miles east-southeast of Barbados, moving west at 20 mph. It poses a threat of life-threatening winds and storm surge. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) forecasts catastrophic wind damage and a significant storm surge, potentially raising water levels 5 to 7 feet above normal tides, in regions impacted by Hurricane Beryl.
Rapid Intensification Raises Concerns
Beryl’s winds have increased dramatically in less than 24 hours, a phenomenon known as rapid intensification. It now has sustained winds of almost 90 mph and is expected to become a major hurricane before reaching the islands. Residents are urged to prepare for major storm impacts, including heavy rainfall, destructive winds, and dangerous storm surge.
Hurricane Warnings and Watches Issued
Hurricane warnings are in effect for Barbados, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, and Grenada. Martinique and Tobago are currently under tropical storm warnings, while Dominica is under a tropical storm watch.
Early Hurricane Raises Concerns for Active Season
Beryl’s rapid intensification and early arrival are concerning. Tropical systems rarely form in the central Atlantic this early in the season. This year’s warm Atlantic waters and lack of wind shear, due to the transition from El Niño to La Niña, have fueled Beryl’s development.
Caribbean Islands Urge Residents to Prepare
Authorities in the Caribbean are urging residents to take precautions as Beryl approaches. Barbados, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Saint Lucia, and Grenada have all issued warnings and are advising residents to review emergency plans and prepare for potential impacts.
NOAA Predicts Above-Normal Hurricane Season
Beryl’s early arrival and rapid intensification could be a sign of a hyperactive hurricane season. The National Weather Service predicts an above-normal season with 17 to 25 named storms, including several major hurricanes. This is attributed to factors like warm ocean temperatures, La Niña conditions, and reduced wind shear.
Where is Hurricane Beryl Heading?
As of Saturday night, Beryl was located about 595 miles southeast of Barbados, moving west at 20 mph with maximum sustained winds of 85 mph. It is expected to pass near Barbados and then move across the Windward Islands, including Grenada, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Dominica, and St. Vincent.
Beryl Could Become a Major Hurricane
Hurricane Beryl is rapidly intensifying and is expected to develop into a powerful major hurricane prior to its anticipated arrival at the Windward Islands. It is currently a Category 1 hurricane, but could intensify to Category 3 or higher, with winds of 111 mph or greater. This would bring a significant threat of life-threatening winds and storm surge.
Rainfall and Flooding Expected
Beryl is expected to bring 3 to 6 inches of rain to Barbados and the Windward Islands, with St. Vincent potentially receiving up to 6 inches. Martinique, Grenada, and Dominica could see 2 to 4 inches of rain. Coastal flooding of up to seven feet due to storm surge is also a potential risk.
Hurricane Warnings and Watches in Effect
Hurricane warnings are in effect for Barbados, St. Lucia, St. Vincent, Grenada, and the Grenadine Islands. A tropical storm warning is in effect for Martinique and Tobago, while Dominica is under a tropical storm watch.
Potential U.S. Impact Uncertain
Any potential impacts on the U.S. are still at least eight days away. Beryl is expected to remain south of Jamaica, but its path could still change.